SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KTP would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KTP | Draw | Lahti |
45.69% ( 0.81) | 25.51% ( -0.09) | 28.8% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 53.29% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.76% ( 0.02) | 50.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.8% ( 0.02) | 72.2% ( -0.01) |
| KTP Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% ( 0.38) | 21.98% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.72% ( 0.57) | 55.28% ( -0.57) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.31% ( -0.51) | 31.7% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.89% ( -0.6) | 68.12% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| KTP | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 45.68% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.8% |
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