SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Inter Turku |
27.14% ( 0.09) | 25.21% ( -0.02) | 47.65% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.07% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.01% ( 0.13) | 49.98% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.03% ( 0.12) | 71.97% ( -0.12) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% ( 0.14) | 32.83% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.61% ( 0.16) | 69.39% ( -0.16) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79% ( 0.02) | 21% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.23% ( 0.03) | 53.77% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Inter Turku |
| 1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.14% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.64% |
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