Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Ilves had a probability of 15.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Ilves win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
