Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 59.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 16.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Lahti win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.