Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.