SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for SJK had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest SJK win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | SJK |
39.49% ( 0.04) | 25.54% ( 0.05) | 34.97% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.74% ( -0.2) | 48.26% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% ( -0.18) | 70.41% ( 0.19) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( -0.06) | 24.12% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% ( -0.1) | 58.42% ( 0.1) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( -0.14) | 26.63% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% ( -0.19) | 61.86% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | SJK |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.49% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.97% |
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