SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for SJK had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest SJK win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | SJK |
46.15% ( 0.27) | 25.96% ( -0.04) | 27.88% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 51.28% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.42% ( 0.01) | 52.58% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.76% ( 0) | 74.24% ( -0.01) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( 0.13) | 22.75% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.56% ( 0.19) | 56.43% ( -0.19) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( -0.18) | 33.62% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% ( -0.2) | 70.27% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | SJK |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 46.15% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.89% |
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