SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Oulu win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 36.25% | 23.68% | 40.06% |
| Both teams to score 62.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.62% | 39.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.28% | 61.72% |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% | 21.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.98% | 55.01% |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% | 19.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.87% | 52.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 2-1 @ 8.13% 1-0 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 5.05% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.25% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.55% 0-0 @ 4.35% 3-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-1 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.11% Total : 40.06% |
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