SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | Ilves |
40.17% ( -0.05) | 24.9% ( -0.01) | 34.93% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.6% ( 0.04) | 45.4% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% ( 0.04) | 67.73% ( -0.04) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( -0.01) | 22.51% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.92% ( -0.01) | 56.08% ( 0.01) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% ( 0.05) | 25.3% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.93% ( 0.07) | 60.07% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | Ilves |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.93% |
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