SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Ilves | 16 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | SJK | 15 | -5 | 19 |
| 8 | Inter Turku | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Honka | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| 4 | Oulu | 15 | 0 | 24 |
| 5 | Haka | 15 | -2 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | Oulu |
38.7% ( -0.34) | 25.28% ( 0.13) | 36.02% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.7% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.01% ( -0.55) | 46.99% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.76% ( -0.51) | 69.24% ( 0.51) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( -0.42) | 23.96% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.8% ( -0.61) | 58.2% ( 0.61) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( -0.13) | 25.42% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.76% ( -0.18) | 60.24% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | Oulu |
| 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.7% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.02% |
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