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Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Mar 28, 2021 at 6.05am UK
WIN Stadium
M

Wellington
0 - 1
Macarthur


Hemed (45+1'), Devlin (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Genreau (65')
Jovanovic (48'), Martis (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawMacarthur
50.35%22.83%26.82%
Both teams to score 60.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.32%39.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.97%62.04%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05%15.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76%45.24%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33%27.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77%63.23%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 50.35%
    Macarthur 26.82%
    Draw 22.83%
Wellington PhoenixDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.56%
1-0 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 5.85%
3-0 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-1 @ 2.68%
4-0 @ 2.09%
4-2 @ 1.72%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 50.35%
1-1 @ 10.41%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 4.42%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-1 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 3.64%
1-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.63%
0-3 @ 1.56%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.82%

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