SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.52%) and 3-1 (5.37%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 43.79% | 22.03% | 34.17% |
| Both teams to score 68.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.44% | 31.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.95% | 53.05% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.77% | 15.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.11% | 43.88% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.72% | 19.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.99% | 51.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% 1-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 5.37% 2-0 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-3 @ 1.14% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.23% Total : 43.79% | 1-1 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 7.05% 0-0 @ 2.94% 3-3 @ 2.43% Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-1 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 4.11% 0-2 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 3.87% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.59% 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.44% Total : 34.17% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
