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Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Apr 25, 2021 at 7.10am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
AU

Wellington
2 - 1
Adelaide United

Waine (58'), Hemed (90+7' pen.)
Rufer (10'), McGarry (37'), Ball (65'), Devlin (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mauk (51')
Mauk (39'), Gauci (90+5'), Toure (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.52%) and 3-1 (5.37%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawAdelaide United
43.79%22.03%34.17%
Both teams to score 68.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.44%31.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.95%53.05%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.77%15.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.11%43.88%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.72%19.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.99%51.01%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 43.79%
    Adelaide United 34.17%
    Draw 22.03%
Wellington PhoenixDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.56%
1-0 @ 5.52%
3-1 @ 5.37%
2-0 @ 5.2%
3-2 @ 4.42%
3-0 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-2 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-3 @ 1.14%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 43.79%
1-1 @ 9.09%
2-2 @ 7.05%
0-0 @ 2.94%
3-3 @ 2.43%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-1 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 4.11%
0-2 @ 3.98%
2-3 @ 3.87%
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.69%
2-4 @ 1.59%
3-4 @ 1%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 34.17%

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