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Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Apr 2, 2024 at 9am UK
Central Coast Stadium
MC

Central Coast
2 - 1
Melbourne City

Torres (54' pen.), Balard (90+3')
Roux (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Arslan (50')
Lopane (18')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sydney FC 2-0 Central Coast
Saturday, March 30 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, March 30 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 60.54%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 20.92% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (5.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne City
60.54% (-0.227 -0.23) 18.54% (-0.206 -0.21) 20.92% (0.433 0.43)
Both teams to score 69.54% (1.588 1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.69% (1.679 1.68)25.31% (-1.68 -1.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.67% (2.153 2.15)45.33% (-2.155 -2.16)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.59% (0.43600000000001 0.44)8.41% (-0.437 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.78% (1.069 1.07)29.22% (-1.071 -1.07)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92% (1.38 1.38)24.08% (-1.381 -1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.63% (1.924 1.92)58.37% (-1.925 -1.93)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 60.54%
    Melbourne City 20.92%
    Draw 18.54%
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-1 @ 7.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.417 -0.42)
3-2 @ 5.19% (0.181 0.18)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.233 -0.23)
1-0 @ 5.01% (-0.448 -0.45)
4-1 @ 4.52% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 3.21% (0.176 0.18)
4-0 @ 3.17% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-1 @ 2.24% (0.081 0.08)
5-2 @ 1.59% (0.118 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.53% (0.14 0.14)
6-1 @ 0.92% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 60.54%
1-1 @ 7.14% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.092 0.09)
3-3 @ 2.46% (0.179 0.18)
0-0 @ 2.02% (-0.228 -0.23)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 18.54%
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.159 0.16)
0-1 @ 2.88% (-0.198 -0.2)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 0.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 20.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sydney FC 2-0 Central Coast
Saturday, March 30 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 0-3 Central Coast
Sunday, March 10 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Central Coast
Saturday, March 2 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Central Coast
Sunday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-0 Western Sydney
Sunday, February 18 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-3 Sydney FC
Saturday, February 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, March 30 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 7-0 Western Sydney
Tuesday, March 12 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, March 9 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 2-0 Melbourne City
Friday, March 1 at 9.28am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 24 at 6.40am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, February 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League


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