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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.95%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
30.23% ( 0.06) | 21.44% ( 0.06) | 48.33% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 68.71% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.58% ( -0.24) | 30.42% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.3% ( -0.29) | 51.7% ( 0.29) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( -0.09) | 20.78% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.56% ( -0.14) | 53.43% ( 0.14) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.74% ( -0.12) | 13.26% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.96% ( -0.25) | 40.04% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.23% | 1-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 48.33% |
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