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Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Dec 17, 2022 at 6am UK
Central Coast Stadium
SF

Central Coast
2 - 1
Sydney FC

Tulio (36'), Hall (39')
Farrell (43'), Silvera (90+2'), Vukovic (90'), Steele (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Retre (11')
Donachie (90+4'), Donachie (90+4'), Brattan (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Central Coast 1-2 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, December 11 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 2-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, December 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Sydney FC

Both sides boast similar attacking numbers heading into this one, so it would be a surprise if either of them came away without conceding. However, Central Coast Mariners are just about more solid at the back, and we can see them narrowly coming out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawSydney FC
33.75% (1.274 1.27) 22.92% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 43.32% (-1.232 -1.23)
Both teams to score 64.83% (0.678 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.81% (0.68 0.68)36.2% (-0.679 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.69% (0.742 0.74)58.31% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (1.019 1.02)21.65% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (1.535 1.54)54.78% (-1.536 -1.54)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75% (-0.214 -0.21)17.25% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.43% (-0.379 -0.38)47.57% (0.38 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 33.75%
    Sydney FC 43.32%
    Draw 22.92%
Central Coast MarinersDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.156 0.16)
1-0 @ 5.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.37% (0.118 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.195 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.117 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 33.75%
1-1 @ 10.04% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.75% (0.089 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-3 @ 2.02% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.272 -0.27)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.281 -0.28)
1-3 @ 5.17% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.96% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.38% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.27% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 43.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Central Coast 1-2 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, December 11 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 2-3 Macarthur
Sunday, November 13 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 0-3 Central Coast
Saturday, November 5 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 4-2 Western Utd
Saturday, October 29 at 7.15am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-2 Perth Glory
Sunday, October 23 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 2-2 Central Coast
Sunday, October 16 at 3am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 2-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, December 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, November 12 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-1 Sydney FC
Sunday, November 6 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 2-3 Sydney FC
Saturday, October 29 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 2-2 Adelaide United
Sunday, October 23 at 5am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 1-3 Sydney FC
Sunday, October 16 at 7am in Australian A-League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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