SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Western United had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
27.5% ( -0.04) | 22.25% ( 0.15) | 50.25% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 63.53% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.66% ( -0.77) | 36.34% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.53% ( -0.85) | 58.46% ( 0.84) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( -0.43) | 25.46% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.71% ( -0.59) | 60.29% ( 0.59) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.23% ( -0.31) | 14.77% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.97% ( -0.6) | 43.02% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.5% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 6% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.26% Total : 50.25% |
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