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Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Jan 31, 2021 at 5.05am UK
Bluetongue Stadium, Gosford
WP

Central Coast
1 - 2
Wellington

Kuol (41')
Kuol (12')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davila (15'), Sotirio (88')
Davila (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawWellington Phoenix
29.98%25.06%44.96%
Both teams to score 55.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.26%47.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07%69.93%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43%29.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4%65.6%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74%21.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.83%54.17%
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 29.98%
    Wellington Phoenix 44.96%
    Draw 25.05%
Central Coast MarinersDrawWellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 7.66%
2-1 @ 7.23%
2-0 @ 4.67%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 29.98%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 6.29%
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 9.73%
1-2 @ 9.18%
0-2 @ 7.54%
1-3 @ 4.74%
0-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 1.84%
0-4 @ 1.51%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 44.96%

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