Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
29.98% | 25.06% | 44.96% |
Both teams to score 55.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.26% | 47.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.07% | 69.93% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.43% | 29.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.4% | 65.6% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.74% | 21.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.83% | 54.17% |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
1-0 @ 7.66% 2-1 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 4.67% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.33% Total : 29.98% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 9.73% 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 7.54% 1-3 @ 4.74% 0-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.96% |
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