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Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Jan 24, 2021 at 7.10am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
NJ

Wellington
1 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Davila (85' pen.)
Fenton (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yuel (8'), O'Donovan (51')
Thurgate (28'), Yuel (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawNewcastle Jets
39.41%24.09%36.5%
Both teams to score 61.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.65%41.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.25%63.75%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88%21.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05%53.95%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43%22.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83%56.17%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 39.41%
    Newcastle Jets 36.5%
    Draw 24.08%
Wellington PhoenixDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.58%
1-0 @ 7.41%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-2 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 39.41%
1-1 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 4.77%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 8.21%
0-1 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.5%

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