Wellington
1 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Davila (85' pen.)
Fenton (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Yuel (8'), O'Donovan (51')
Thurgate (28'), Yuel (69')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Newcastle Jets
39.41%	24.09%	36.5%

Both teams to score 61.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.65%

41.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.25%

63.75%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.88%

21.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.05%

53.95%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.43%

22.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.83%

56.17%

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 39.41%

Newcastle Jets 36.5%

Draw 24.08%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.58% 1-0 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.73% Total : 39.41%	1-1 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.08%	1-2 @ 8.21% 0-1 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.5%