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MC
Australian A-League
Jun 27, 2021 at 8.05am UK
AAMI Park
SF

Melbourne City
3 - 1
Sydney FC

Atkinson (23'), Jamieson (45+1' pen.), Galloway (90+3')
Tilio (54'), Colakovski (73')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Barbarouses (21')
Brattan (25')
Brattan (35')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
43.54%25.06%31.4%
Both teams to score 56.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88%47.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65%69.35%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35%21.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23%54.77%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7%28.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98%64.02%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 43.54%
    Sydney FC 31.4%
    Draw 25.06%
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
1-0 @ 9.37%
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 7.17%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 43.54%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.13%
2-2 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.73%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.4%

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