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Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
May 25, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
MC

Brisbane Roar
3 - 0
Melbourne City

O'Shea (6' pen., 52' pen.), Parsons (38')
Akbari (34'), Wenzel-Halls (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mills (51'), Reis (61'), Berenguer (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne City
30.89%23.83%45.28%
Both teams to score 60.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27%41.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.86%64.13%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03%25.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02%60.98%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32%18.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.99%50.01%
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 30.89%
    Melbourne City 45.28%
    Draw 23.83%
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 7.4%
1-0 @ 6.54%
2-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 30.89%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 9.21%
0-1 @ 8.14%
0-2 @ 6.83%
1-3 @ 5.15%
0-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 3.47%
1-4 @ 2.16%
0-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 45.28%

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