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Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
May 29, 2021 at 10.10am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
SF

Adelaide United
1 - 4
Sydney FC

Dukuly (89')
Elsey (41')
Elsey (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
le Fondre (6', 54'), Bobo (58'), Wood (71')
Wood (88'), Van Der Saag (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawSydney FC
32.9%24.02%43.07%
Both teams to score 60.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.16%41.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.76%64.24%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2%24.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63%59.37%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35%19.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37%51.62%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 32.9%
    Sydney FC 43.07%
    Draw 24.02%
Adelaide UnitedDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 7.71%
1-0 @ 6.8%
2-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.9%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-1 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 6.45%
1-3 @ 4.88%
0-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 3.4%
1-4 @ 1.98%
0-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 43.07%

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