Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 68.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 3-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
68.15% | 17.12% | 14.73% |
Both teams to score 61.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.38% | 29.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.26% | 50.74% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.02% | 7.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.84% | 28.16% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.02% | 32.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.44% | 69.56% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 7.87% 3-0 @ 7.09% 1-0 @ 6.65% 4-1 @ 4.97% 4-0 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 4.36% 4-2 @ 2.76% 5-1 @ 2.51% 5-0 @ 2.27% 5-2 @ 1.4% 6-1 @ 1.06% 4-3 @ 1.02% 6-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.01% Total : 68.15% | 1-1 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 5.18% 0-0 @ 2.63% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.12% | 1-2 @ 4.09% 0-1 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-2 @ 1.62% 1-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.67% Total : 14.73% |
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