Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
