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Sunday, April 28
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Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Feb 8, 2021 at 8.10am UK
Sydney Football Stadium
WP

Sydney FC
2 - 1
Wellington

Barbarouses (32', 64')
Brattan (27'), Nieuwenhof (34'), Barbarouses (41'), Grant (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Davila (90+3')
Rufer (29'), Ball (90+7')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FCDrawWellington Phoenix
43.06%25.32%31.62%
Both teams to score 55.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83%48.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67%70.33%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69%22.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.21%55.79%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.32%28.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.5%64.5%
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 43.06%
    Wellington Phoenix 31.62%
    Draw 25.31%
Sydney FCDrawWellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 8.99%
2-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.06%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.99%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.62%

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