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Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
May 22, 2021 at 5.05am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
WU

Wellington
3 - 0
Western Utd

Lewis (38'), Piscopo (57'), Hemed (63')
Devlin (31'), Waine (90+2'), Lewis (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Western United had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern United
50.93%22.75%26.32%
Both teams to score 60.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.3%39.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.95%62.05%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.24%15.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.12%44.88%
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95%28.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3%63.7%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 50.93%
    Western United 26.32%
    Draw 22.75%
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 9.59%
1-0 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 7.55%
3-1 @ 5.91%
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-0 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.74%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 50.93%
1-1 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 4.42%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-1 @ 5.62%
0-2 @ 3.57%
1-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 26.32%

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