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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Asgabat Stadiony

Ahal
1 - 0
Al Fayha

Tagayew (51')
Tagayew (52'), Meredov (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Al-Rashidi (40')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ahal and Al Fayha.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Ahal 4-2 Al Gharafa
Tuesday, April 26 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Al Fayha 0-1 Al Shabab
Friday, September 15 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fayha win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Fayha win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for an Ahal win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
AhalDrawAl Fayha
24.64% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 25.44%49.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.16% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.26% (0.027999999999999 0.03)52.74% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63% (0.024000000000001 0.02)74.37% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Ahal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (0.033999999999999 0.03)36.4% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.82% (0.035 0.04)73.18% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Al Fayha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.15% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ahal 24.64%
    Al Fayha 49.91%
    Draw 25.44%
AhalDrawAl Fayha
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 6.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.06% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 24.64%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 11.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 9.29% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 49.91%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ahal 4-2 Al Gharafa
Tuesday, April 26 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shabab Al-Ahli 2-1 Ahal
Friday, April 22 at 6.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Ahal 0-1 Foolad
Monday, April 18 at 6.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Foolad 1-0 Ahal
Thursday, April 14 at 6.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Gharafa 2-0 Ahal
Sunday, April 10 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Ahal 1-1 Shabab Al-Ahli
Thursday, April 7 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Fayha 0-1 Al Shabab
Friday, September 15 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fayha 0-0 Al Raed
Friday, September 1 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Abha 2-1 Al Fayha
Monday, August 28 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fayha 0-0 Al Hazem
Friday, August 25 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-1 Al Fayha
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fayha 3-1 Al Khaleej
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League


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