Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 52.57%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
