Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sharjah FC win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sharjah FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.