Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Jazira Club win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Al Quwa Al Jawiya had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Jazira Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Al Quwa Al Jawiya win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
