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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 29, 2021 at 4pm UK
Sharjah Stadium

Pakhtakor
1 - 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya

P (79')
Izmailov (43'), Yoldoshev (53'), Iminov (80'), Kuvvatov (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kazem (56'), Saeed Mjabel Al Mamoori (78'), Jabar (89'), Ali Abbood Suwaed (90+1')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Pakhtakor Tashkent and Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Al Quwa Al Jawiya had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Al Quwa Al Jawiya win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pakhtakor Tashkent in this match.

Result
Pakhtakor TashkentDrawAl Quwa Al Jawiya
44.17%27.64%28.19%
Both teams to score 46.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.32%58.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.78%79.22%
Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41%61.58%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36%36.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57%73.42%
Score Analysis
    Pakhtakor Tashkent 44.16%
    Al Quwa Al Jawiya 28.19%
    Draw 27.63%
Pakhtakor TashkentDrawAl Quwa Al Jawiya
1-0 @ 12.88%
2-1 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.16%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.68%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.19%

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