Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Al Quwa Al Jawiya had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Al Quwa Al Jawiya win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pakhtakor Tashkent in this match.
