Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sharjah FC win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 16.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sharjah FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sharjah FC would win this match.