Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Sepahan had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Sepahan win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.