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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Johor Darul Ta'zim win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Johor Darul Ta'zim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BG Pathum United | Draw | Johor Darul Ta'zim |
33.29% ( -2.18) | 25.46% ( 0.16) | 41.25% ( 2.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.75% ( -1.13) | 48.25% ( 1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.6% ( -1.05) | 70.4% ( 1.04) |
| BG Pathum United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( -1.85) | 27.64% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.82% ( -2.44) | 63.18% ( 2.44) |
| Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( 0.52) | 23.22% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.86% ( 0.75) | 57.13% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| BG Pathum United | Draw | Johor Darul Ta'zim |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.34)2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.33)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.3% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.51)1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.25% |
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