Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Johor Darul Ta'zim win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Johor Darul Ta'zim would win this match.
