SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ulsan Hyundai | Draw | BG Pathum United |
46.56% ( -0.06) | 24.25% ( -0.03) | 29.19% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.7% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.42% ( 0.2) | 44.58% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.06% ( 0.19) | 66.94% ( -0.19) |
| Ulsan Hyundai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.72% ( 0.05) | 19.28% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.98% ( 0.09) | 51.02% ( -0.08) |
| BG Pathum United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% ( 0.17) | 28.51% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.71% ( 0.21) | 64.29% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ulsan Hyundai | Draw | BG Pathum United |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 46.56% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.19% |
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