Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
