SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a BG Pathum United win it was 1-2 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | BG Pathum United |
55.06% ( 0.01) | 22.68% ( -0.01) | 22.25% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 56.07% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.44% ( 0.02) | 43.55% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.05% ( 0.02) | 65.95% ( -0.03) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% ( 0.01) | 15.71% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.22% ( 0.02) | 44.78% ( -0.02) |
| BG Pathum United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.52% ( 0.01) | 33.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.89% ( 0.01) | 70.11% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | BG Pathum United |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 55.06% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.25% |
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