Cerezo
5 - 0
Guangzhou

Kato (33', 90+3'), Matsumoto (53', 73'), Tiago (67')
Kida (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zhao (24'), K (46')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Cerezo Osaka and Guangzhou.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Guangzhou
56.28%	23.09%	20.63%

Both teams to score 52.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.72%

47.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.49%

69.51%

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.4%

16.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.58%

46.42%

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.86%

37.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.07%

73.93%

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 56.27%

Guangzhou 20.64%

Draw 23.08%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Guangzhou
1-0 @ 11.07% 2-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 5.89% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 0.96% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.12% Total : 56.27%	1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.08%	0-1 @ 6.11% 1-2 @ 5.43% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.64%