SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Port had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Port win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Port |
40.82% ( -0.15) | 24.86% ( 0.03) | 34.31% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.87% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.64% ( -0.1) | 45.36% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.31% ( -0.09) | 67.69% ( 0.09) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% ( -0.11) | 22.17% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.43% ( -0.17) | 55.57% ( 0.17) |
| Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% ( 0.02) | 25.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% ( 0.03) | 60.53% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Port |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 40.82% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.31% |
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