SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
27.56% ( 0.46) | 25.42% ( 0.04) | 47.01% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.39% ( 0.11) | 50.6% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.48% ( 0.1) | 72.51% ( -0.1) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% ( 0.42) | 32.83% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.6% ( 0.47) | 69.39% ( -0.47) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( -0.18) | 21.53% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% ( -0.27) | 54.59% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.52% Total : 27.56% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 47.01% |
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