SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 49.67%. A win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
49.67% ( 0.54) | 24.47% ( -0.52) | 25.86% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.31% ( 1.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.17% ( 2.14) | 47.83% ( -2.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.98% ( 1.94) | 70.02% ( -1.94) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.71% ( 1.07) | 19.29% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.96% ( 1.73) | 51.04% ( -1.73) |
| Qingdao Jonoon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.29% ( 1.13) | 32.71% ( -1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.74% ( 1.24) | 69.26% ( -1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.06% Total : 49.67% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.58)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 25.86% |
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