Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sharjah FC win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sharjah FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
