Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sharjah FC win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sharjah FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sharjah FC in this match.
