SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kitchee win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kitchee win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kitchee | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
| 41.11% | 23.08% | 35.81% |
| Both teams to score 64.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.56% | 36.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.42% | 58.58% |
| Kitchee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% | 18.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.69% | 49.32% |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% | 20.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.69% | 53.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kitchee | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% 1-0 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 5.47% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.77% Total : 41.11% | 1-1 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 6.78% 0-0 @ 3.78% 3-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-1 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.81% |
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