Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kitchee win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kitchee win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
