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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jul 3, 2021 at 3pm UK
Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground

Kitchee
1 - 0
Shandong

Damjanovic (70' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zhao (90')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Kitchee and Shandong Taishan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kitchee win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kitchee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kitchee would win this match.

Result
KitcheeDrawShandong Taishan
46.73%22.68%30.58%
Both teams to score 64.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.6%36.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.47%58.53%
Kitchee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97%16.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.63%45.37%
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46%23.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41%57.58%
Score Analysis
    Kitchee 46.73%
    Shandong Taishan 30.58%
    Draw 22.68%
KitcheeDrawShandong Taishan
2-1 @ 9.15%
1-0 @ 6.91%
2-0 @ 6.32%
3-1 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 3.86%
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.77%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 46.73%
1-1 @ 9.99%
2-2 @ 6.62%
0-0 @ 3.77%
3-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.68%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-1 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 30.58%

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