Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for Kitchee had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Kitchee win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.