SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for an Al-Ahli win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al-Ahli |
60.96% ( 0.1) | 21.31% ( 0.3) | 17.73% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 53.15% ( -1.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.19% ( -2.04) | 43.81% ( 2.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.8% ( -2.03) | 66.2% ( 2.02) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.1% ( -0.63) | 13.89% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.68% ( -1.24) | 41.31% ( 1.24) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.72% ( -1.67) | 38.27% ( 1.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.97% ( -1.64) | 75.03% ( 1.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al-Ahli |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.68) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.44)2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 3.36% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.23)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.91% Total : 60.95% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.31% | 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.73% |
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