SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 47.72%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.42%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Kashima Antlers |
| 25.26% | 27.02% | 47.72% |
| Both teams to score 46.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.9% | 58.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.23% | 78.77% |
| Nagoya Grampus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.19% | 38.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.46% | 75.54% |
| Kashima Antlers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% | 24.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.18% | 58.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Kashima Antlers |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 4.24% 3-1 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.34% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.51% Total : 25.26% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 13.35% 0-2 @ 9.42% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-3 @ 4.43% 1-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.56% 1-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.39% Total : 47.72% |
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