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J1 League | Gameweek 21
May 12, 2021 at 11am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
0 - 2
Kashima Antlers


Nakatani (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Inukai (33'), Sugioka (86')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Kashima Antlers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 47.72%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.42%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawKashima Antlers
25.26%27.02%47.72%
Both teams to score 46.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.9%58.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.23%78.77%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19%38.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46%75.54%
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6%24.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.18%58.83%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 25.26%
    Kashima Antlers 47.72%
    Draw 27.01%
Nagoya GrampusDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-1 @ 5.98%
2-0 @ 4.24%
3-1 @ 1.89%
3-0 @ 1.34%
3-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 25.26%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 9.47%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 13.35%
0-2 @ 9.42%
1-2 @ 8.92%
0-3 @ 4.43%
1-3 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-4 @ 1.56%
1-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 47.72%

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