SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | Draw | Al-Ain |
28.03% ( -1.15) | 27.87% ( -0.53) | 44.1% ( 1.68) |
| Both teams to score 45.88% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.43% ( 1.33) | 59.56% ( -1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.09% ( 1.01) | 79.9% ( -1.01) |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( -0.2) | 37.26% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% ( -0.19) | 74.05% ( 0.2) |
| Al-Ain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( 1.53) | 26.87% ( -1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.82% ( 1.97) | 62.18% ( -1.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | Draw | Al-Ain |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.03% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.51)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.31)1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.26)0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.14)Other @ 1.91% Total : 44.09% |
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