Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.
